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Viral Old Spice Commercials by Weiden Kennedy Drove Sales Down by 7 Percent. Here's Why (race discussed)

Hello ladies, how are you? (thx to Seattle Videographer for the Tip Off)

Well, It's official. The Old Spice Viral Campaign by Weiden Kennedy actually drove sales down. The drop was an immediate 7 percent according to Warc, an industry research group. - (source)

The reasons are obvious if you were raised off the teet of the web (oft called net-natives). The web user culture is totally different from the newspaper reader culture of yester-year. Weiden + Kennedy was culturally out of touch. Ironically, if David Ogilvy was at the helm, I doubt this would have happened - even though he is a 1960's ad man.

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Why the Old Spice Viral Campaign Drove Sales Down

1. Stay Loyal to Your Core (warning: race discussion ahead)
If you have any market share at all, build on it.

Old Spice under Weiden + Kennedy created betrayal. Many of you are going to think the following words are nonsense but those who do aren't in my client demographic anyways so I'll spill the beans. Do you know what P&G Old Spice's Demographics are? I'm not sure but I do have a point sample of an idea. If you've been in any University Club, LA Fitness, or Equinox men's locker room with a bunch of naked dudes, and methodically stared at everyone's shopping cart every time you go shopping, you'd have a point sample idea too. It's a 50's and 60's crowd.

For a very small percent of the 50's and 60's white guys with some military background, "Mustafa" likely didn't go over well. I'm sure it's a small number but let's, for the sake of arguement, say only 2% of them were uncomfortable with "Mustafa." Then, from my subjective, non scientific analysis, these men in my gyms seem to be people who take themselves seriously. They range from old school executives to unionized blue collar workers. If the comical tone of the Weiden + Kennedy's ad only offended another 3% of their macho core, well, that would account for most of that 7% drop.

Personally, I have guy friends who are successful corporate African-Americans too. I know for a fact that a few of them use Old Spice. But after that silly messaging of a masculine product, I have a hunch they'd be as reluctant to walk through a checkout line with Old Spice as they would with a box of tampons. Are you on a horse?

How would the cash register boy react as one of my African American buddies tried to pay for his Old Spice? If you think I'm being silly, as a Korean American, my experience in the checkout line is occasionally different depending on whether I'm purchasing bread or rice. Do you have any idea how many times a checker asked me if I do kung fu; and 'what about Bob?' True story. 

The ad campaign made buying a regular brand embarrassing.

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2. If You Target Another Demographic, Rebrand

You buy products because they are exclusive to your psychography. Guys who wear Ed Hardy shirts will not wear Polo.

I can't think of any situation where the only way to increase your market share is to betray your existing base. If you want to bolt on a totally different demographic, you do so by totally rebranding. Nissan created Infinity because they didn't want to lose their core and make Nissans feel inferior. Honda created Acura. Toyota created Lexus. McDonalds created Chipotle. 

You'll lose your core if you diffuse your marketing - even more so with a viral campaign. If you insist on keeping one brand while going after two demographics, at least do what Verizon Wireless and Subway did. Get a race-agnostic spokesperson.

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Why The Heck Are They Addressing Women for a Men's Product Anyways?

3. W+K was so concerned with the medium that they forgot their message
The medium is just a medium. Whether you're on a street corner or in Carnegie Hall, the medium is just a medium. Focus on the message. Don't get distracted by the bells and whistles of the medium. W+K was in such a hurry to prove that their old-school culture was hip and relevant to "the parlance of our times" that they lost grasp of their message.

After a cursory review of any of their viral videos, it becomes clear that even their front line ad copy writers were confused as to who their target was. Mustafa generally begins his pitch, "Ladies." But the tagline is, "smell like a man, man."

Before you launch your next advertising or marketing initiative, let's talk. We might do well putting our heads together. Call 310 598 1606 or email bob.wan.kim@gmail.com 

CONTINUED: Actually, OldSpice Viral Marketing Raised Sales by 7%

Comments (12)

Jul 22, 2010
Wan, some high caliber Tuesday morning quarterbacking... You skipped over the parts that they did very well in breaking into a new market and creating "greater than investment buzz" .... New consumers pay-off over time and there are many ways that this campaign demonstrated some of 2010's best practices. e.g. meeting the consumer where they are, customization, and slap stick sexiness. IMHO bottom line a 7% loss is something no one wants to encounter but there is more Old Spice buzz today than last month...
Jul 22, 2010
Bob Wan-Qi Kim said...
Paul,

1. thanks for the comment
2. what time zone are you in??? isnt it THURSDAY!?!?!
3. in the end, you gotta generate sales.

Jul 22, 2010
Felicia-Qi Kim liked this post.
Jul 22, 2010
Felicia-Qi Kim said...
Bob what a great blog. First I want to thank you for treading waters that would normally be taboo for most of us. Being a loyal reader of your work I knew that you would back up your information with facts. I also know that you would break everything down in the simplest terms so that everyone would understand. I totally get your point about about this ad. Your point is well received. Thank you for providing us with facts and information that will be helpful for ALL of us to flourish as business owners.
Jul 23, 2010
 said...
Bob,

Like you, I'm a little less concerned with the buzz created on social media and more with actual sales, because that's where the rubber hits the road. But as I mentioned in my oh so elaborate twitter response, they are repositioning the brand and that takes time. One month's worth of sales isn't enough time to call something a failure. They took a bold move towards the Gen X and Millennial buyers (I disagree it was more targeted to African Americans, younger generations just don't see race as much). I know you recommend rebranding in that case, but I can see where they wouldn't want to throw out their years of credibility. Lots of brands my father used have tried to rebrand and have failed miserably. They've also failed at repositioning. The bottom line was probably this for the Old Spice marketing dept: their core customers are dying off. Time will tell if this strategy will work. They need to stick with it, and probably be more aggressive (more viral, more in-person publicity stunts) in the next 6 months to really get a good gauge.

Great blog. Keep up the good work!

Silver fish hand catch!

Jul 23, 2010
W2Optimism said...
Bob - interesting post but the fact is that sales are not down. "The brand's ad agency Wieden + Kennedy developed and coordinated 186 customized video responses that contributed to a 107% increase in Old Spice Body Wash sales over the last month, according to Nielsen data from Mike Norton, director of external relations for male grooming at P&G." http://bit.ly/aiHRaj
Jul 23, 2010
journik said...
@W2O... yeah... thats the trouble... W+K will tell you that the "body wash" sales are up... BUT according to Warc, sales of the entire OldSpice Deodorant line are down. I could be wrong. I'm on a horse.
Jul 23, 2010
kaler said...
Correlation is not causation. Assuming that the ad campaign caused a drop in Old Spice sales is highly suspect.

I can't find the methodology Warc used to come up with that 7% number. Hell, I can't even find the original press release or report. That number 7 is just an echo chamber number repeated by secondary sources.

This all just sounds like an opportunity to crap on the head of an agency that created a campaign that got a lot of buzz.

Jul 23, 2010
 said...
I've been skeptical of this campaign (or at least declaring it a resounding success) however I don't really agree with you on a lot of counts.

1. drop in sales--way too soon to sell. It's body wash it's not like anyone is going to rush out the door to buy some right away after seeing the commercial. This is something that needs to be measured and trended long term.

Also, the 7 per cent figure does not at all take into account the Twitter/Youtube component of the campaign. (It was released on the 13th which I believe was the same day the social media components were lost)

yesterday I saw an article that said they were up 107%. Not sure that's accurate either, but just sayin we can't jump on numbers at this point.

2. The product they are shilling is NOT the old spice your grandfather used, it's the new line of body wash, which is definitely branded for a different crowd. There is brand confusion for sure but I don't agree about your point on staying loyal to the core: the old product is same as always, and new is attempting to reach a new demographic, smart.

3. I think they were very smart to target women with this campaign-I've seen tons of research that women now hold a good chunk of buying power in households--including products for men. In fact, I buy my guy his deodorant and body wash quite often, I'm sure others do too. Also it does makes that guys are a secondary target-guys want to be desired by women and buy extension this creates pressure for the guys because the ladies dig it. I think this is smart.

Like I said, I feel it's definitely too soon for us to be declaring this campaign a huge success, however, by the same token, it's also too soon to declare it a failure.

Jul 23, 2010
whatsnext said...
neither the WARC nor the Nielsen numbers refer to the online campaign, which is only one week old. There are no numbers yet for the social media campaign.

and, while i see rather large holes in the strategy, it's an absolutely brilliant use of social media.

Jul 25, 2010
hmmm an interesting one :) i would love to do a marketing strategy with you about the music ..
Jul 28, 2010
Jamie Beckland said...
I believe that the strategy was to "reinvigorate" the brand after many years of neglect. And build the brand into something that could compete with Axe. So, from that standpoint, neither the W+K nor P&G teams may have been tasked with increasing sales.

This campaign might actually just be judged on brand awareness and purchase intent lift.

Not that I disagree with you about marketing translating into sales - they just might have a longer timeline for success.

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